Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Krejci wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 51.9% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 65.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 85.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 85.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Krejci
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Krejci
Stastny
Last 5: Krejci 4-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
0
Krejci
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
0
Krejci
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Krejci
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (835)
55.0% (1,136)
-3.0%
Power Play
53.4% (163)
57.5% (200)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
53.1% (64)
-1.7%
On power play, Stastny has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Krejci is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Krejci shoots right. Stastny is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Krejci
Stastny
Home
56.8% (525)
58.5% (744)
Away
47.3% (520)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Krejci
Stastny
P1
51.4%
57.9%
P2
57.5%
54.9%
P3
46.8%
53.0%
OT
60.0%
72.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
52.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | David Krejci |