Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Krejci wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 52.7% vs Stastny 57.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 73.1%
Defensive zone
Stastny 82.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 76.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Krejci
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Krejci
Stastny
Last 6: Krejci 4-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Krejci
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
4
0
Krejci
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (534)
57.6% (959)
-5.4%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
60.8% (125)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (30)
58.1% (74)
-4.8%
On power play, Krejci has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Krejci is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Krejci shoots right. Stastny is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Krejci
Stastny
Home
58.9% (302)
55.9% (590)
Away
47.3% (292)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Krejci
Stastny
P1
55.6%
59.6%
P2
53.6%
59.0%
P3
51.1%
55.3%
OT
36.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
53.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | David Krejci |