Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 48.8% vs Carter 50.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 50.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 72.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 72.2%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Krejci
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Krejci
Carter
Last 6: Krejci 5-1 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
4
0
Krejci
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (872)
50.7% (404)
-1.6%
Power Play
46.3% (177)
57.1% (7)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
50.0% (62)
-1.2%
On power play, Carter has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Krejci is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Krejci shoots right. Carter is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Krejci
Carter
Home
49.7% (557)
48.2% (220)
Away
47.8% (592)
52.7% (258)
By Period
Krejci
Carter
P1
47.4%
53.2%
P2
49.5%
50.3%
P3
48.1%
48.7%
OT
64.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
48.7%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2011 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | David Krejci |