Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Krejci wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.1% vs Gagner 42.6% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 73.5%
Defensive zone
Krejci 85.4%
Neutral zone
Krejci 70.0%
Result
David Krejci favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Krejci
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Krejci
Gagner
Last 5: Krejci 4-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
0
Krejci
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Krejci
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (982)
34.5% (84)
+15.6%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
38.5% (13)
+11.5%
On even strength, Krejci has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Krejci is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Krejci shoots right. Gagner is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Krejci
Gagner
Home
51.7% (571)
32.6% (46)
Away
48.5% (546)
37.3% (51)
By Period
Krejci
Gagner
P1
52.9%
34.5%
P2
52.6%
23.3%
P3
45.0%
45.9%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2015 | OT | 01:01 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | David Krejci |