Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Krejci wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 48.5% vs Bozak 53.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 74.7%
Defensive zone
Krejci 76.3%
Neutral zone
Krejci 72.0%
Result
David Krejci favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Krejci
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Krejci
Bozak
Last 9: Krejci 2-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
0
Krejci
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
6
Krejci
Bozak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Krejci
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (999)
55.4% (719)
-7.4%
Power Play
54.0% (63)
45.1% (51)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (33)
50.0% (60)
-1.5%
On power play, Krejci has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Krejci is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Krejci shoots right. Bozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Krejci
Bozak
Home
50.4% (570)
55.5% (443)
Away
46.3% (525)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Krejci
Bozak
P1
48.2%
53.3%
P2
48.2%
54.7%
P3
48.5%
55.4%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
48.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 10:53 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |