Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Krejci wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.1% vs Johnson 48.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 64.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 54.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 62.1%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Krejci
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
16
(22 meetings)
6
16
Krejci
Johnson
Last 10: Krejci 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
7
Krejci
Johnson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Krejci
Johnson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
6
Krejci
Johnson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (982)
48.5% (776)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
56.7% (157)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (105)
26.4% (53)
+24.1%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Krejci is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Krejci shoots right. Johnson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Krejci
Johnson
Home
51.7% (571)
48.8% (482)
Away
48.5% (546)
48.4% (504)
By Period
Krejci
Johnson
P1
52.9%
50.3%
P2
52.6%
48.5%
P3
45.0%
47.0%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 17:48 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 06:07 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |