Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.1% vs Smith 51.9% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 50.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 67.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 60.5%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Krejci
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Krejci
Smith
Last 6: Krejci 5-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
4
0
Krejci
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (982)
53.6% (550)
-3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
53.5% (71)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (105)
43.5% (108)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Krejci is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Krejci shoots right. Smith is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Krejci
Smith
Home
51.7% (571)
56.5% (352)
Away
48.5% (546)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Krejci
Smith
P1
52.9%
52.0%
P2
52.6%
51.5%
P3
45.0%
52.2%
OT
40.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | David Krejci |