Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.9% vs Legwand 46.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 51.1%
Defensive zone
Fraser 58.4%
Neutral zone
Legwand 50.7%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Fraser
Legwand
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Fraser
Legwand
Last 5: Fraser 3-2 Legwand
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
1
2
Fraser
Legwand
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
0
Fraser
Legwand
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Legwand
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (332)
44.6% (892)
+4.2%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
62.3% (114)
-32.3%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
41.1% (90)
-2.6%
On power play, Legwand has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Legwand shoots left. Fraser is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Fraser shoots left. Legwand is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Fraser
Legwand
Home
49.7% (189)
48.8% (529)
Away
44.8% (181)
43.8% (580)
By Period
Fraser
Legwand
P1
44.6%
49.7%
P2
48.1%
45.0%
P3
49.1%
44.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | David Legwand |