Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Legwand shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Legwand 46.9% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 76.9%
Defensive zone
Legwand 71.5%
Neutral zone
Legwand 79.3%
Result
David Legwand favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Backes
Legwand
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Backes
Legwand
Last 5: Backes 1-4 Legwand
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
0
1
Backes
Legwand
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
1
2
Backes
Legwand
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Legwand
0
1
Backes
Legwand
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Legwand
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
48.3% (687)
+6.2%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
52.3% (107)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
36.2% (174)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Legwand shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Legwand is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Backes
Legwand
Home
55.3% (524)
47.3% (431)
Away
54.0% (606)
46.0% (537)
By Period
Backes
Legwand
P1
53.2%
49.3%
P2
54.2%
47.0%
P3
57.1%
43.8%
OT
44.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
60.2%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Legwand |