Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 47.5% vs MacKenzie 51.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 61.6%
Defensive zone
Legwand 66.7%
Neutral zone
Legwand 62.7%
Result
David Legwand favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Legwand
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Legwand
MacKenzie
Last 8: Legwand 3-5 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Legwand
MacKenzie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
4
Legwand
MacKenzie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (686)
51.8% (384)
-5.2%
Power Play
54.0% (63)
50.0% (24)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (82)
52.5% (61)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Legwand is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Legwand shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Legwand
MacKenzie
Home
50.7% (426)
51.7% (232)
Away
43.6% (411)
52.3% (241)
By Period
Legwand
MacKenzie
P1
48.2%
47.9%
P2
47.0%
51.8%
P3
46.3%
55.4%
OT
53.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
47.2%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 14:15 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 09:07 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |