Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 50.2% vs MacKenzie 57.2% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 73.4%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 92.4%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 90.3%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Legwand
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Legwand
MacKenzie
Last 7: Legwand 6-1 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
4
1
Legwand
MacKenzie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
2
0
Legwand
MacKenzie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (594)
61.0% (264)
-11.8%
Power Play
56.6% (76)
100.0% (4)
-43.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (51)
49.1% (55)
+3.8%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Legwand is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Legwand shoots left. MacKenzie is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Legwand
MacKenzie
Home
50.3% (350)
62.1% (145)
Away
50.1% (371)
57.3% (178)
By Period
Legwand
MacKenzie
P1
50.2%
51.6%
P2
56.2%
59.8%
P3
45.4%
65.8%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
50.2%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 19, 2013 | OT | 02:38 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |