Scouting Report
David Legwand holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 48.0% vs Stepan 46.6% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 52.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 50.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Legwand
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
17
(31 meetings)
14
17
Legwand
Stepan
Last 10: Legwand 6-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
8
Legwand
Stepan
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Legwand
Stepan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Legwand
9
5
Legwand
Stepan
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (4,202)
46.5% (10,204)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.6% (516)
48.8% (1,593)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (481)
44.2% (1,368)
-2.6%
On power play, Legwand has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Legwand is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,811).
Legwand shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Legwand
Stepan
Home
50.2% (2,607)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
45.6% (2,611)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Legwand
Stepan
P1
49.8%
47.5%
P2
48.0%
45.6%
P3
46.6%
46.8%
OT
35.6%
40.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
47.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |