Scouting Report
David Legwand holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 46.5% vs Stepan 45.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 64.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 58.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Legwand
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Legwand
Stepan
Last 7: Legwand 2-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
4
Legwand
Stepan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Legwand
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (892)
44.9% (680)
-0.3%
Power Play
62.3% (114)
50.8% (118)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (90)
29.8% (57)
+11.3%
On power play, Legwand has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Legwand is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Legwand shoots left. Stepan is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Legwand
Stepan
Home
48.8% (529)
45.6% (463)
Away
43.8% (580)
43.3% (404)
By Period
Legwand
Stepan
P1
49.7%
50.2%
P2
45.0%
39.4%
P3
44.8%
45.7%
OT
28.6%
38.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
46.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | David Legwand |