Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 48.0% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Legwand 67.6%
Defensive zone
Legwand 63.4%
Neutral zone
Legwand 65.5%
Result
David Legwand favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Legwand
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Legwand
Pavelski
Last 10: Legwand 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
9
5
Legwand
Pavelski
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
7
Legwand
Pavelski
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Legwand
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (4,202)
53.6% (8,791)
-5.9%
Power Play
55.6% (516)
58.2% (2,122)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (481)
50.9% (1,138)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Legwand is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,811).
Legwand shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Legwand
Pavelski
Home
50.2% (2,607)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
45.6% (2,611)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Legwand
Pavelski
P1
49.8%
53.5%
P2
48.0%
55.2%
P3
46.6%
53.9%
OT
35.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
47.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 12, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |