Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Legwand wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 47.5% vs Pavelski 53.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 76.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 81.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 81.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 79.0%
21.0%
79.0%
Legwand
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Legwand
Pavelski
Last 6: Legwand 4-2 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
2
1
Legwand
Pavelski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Legwand
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Legwand
2
0
Legwand
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (686)
53.4% (682)
-6.8%
Power Play
54.0% (63)
63.7% (168)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (82)
48.1% (160)
-1.8%
On power play, Pavelski has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Legwand is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Legwand shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Legwand
Pavelski
Home
50.7% (426)
59.0% (527)
Away
43.6% (411)
49.3% (493)
By Period
Legwand
Pavelski
P1
48.2%
50.8%
P2
47.0%
58.9%
P3
46.3%
53.6%
OT
53.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
47.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | David Legwand |