Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 46.5% vs Pavelski 57.8% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 87.5%
Defensive zone
Legwand 91.4%
Neutral zone
Legwand 87.8%
Result
David Legwand favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Legwand
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Legwand
Pavelski
Last 6: Legwand 0-6 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Legwand
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
4
Legwand
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (892)
57.8% (569)
-13.2%
Power Play
62.3% (114)
60.2% (161)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (90)
59.5% (121)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Legwand is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Legwand shoots left. Pavelski is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Home / Away
Legwand
Pavelski
Home
48.8% (529)
61.0% (403)
Away
43.8% (580)
56.6% (461)
By Period
Legwand
Pavelski
P1
49.7%
62.9%
P2
45.0%
56.6%
P3
44.8%
57.1%
OT
28.6%
57.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
46.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |