Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 47.5% vs Thornton 54.1% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 81.1%
Defensive zone
Legwand 78.7%
Neutral zone
Legwand 76.5%
Result
David Legwand favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Legwand
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Legwand
Thornton
Last 8: Legwand 1-7 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Legwand
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
Legwand
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
3
Legwand
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (686)
52.8% (922)
-6.2%
Power Play
54.0% (63)
56.1% (196)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (82)
62.0% (100)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Legwand is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Legwand shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
Legwand
Thornton
Home
50.7% (426)
54.9% (597)
Away
43.6% (411)
54.0% (643)
By Period
Legwand
Thornton
P1
48.2%
53.0%
P2
47.0%
51.2%
P3
46.3%
57.8%
OT
53.8%
72.7%
Final 5 min
44.8%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
47.2%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |