Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Legwand wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 46.5% vs Thornton 55.5% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 80.6%
Defensive zone
Legwand 75.1%
Neutral zone
Legwand 75.6%
Result
David Legwand favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Legwand
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Legwand
Thornton
Last 9: Legwand 2-7 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Legwand
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
3
Legwand
Thornton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Legwand
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (892)
55.8% (704)
-11.2%
Power Play
62.3% (114)
56.7% (208)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (90)
56.7% (67)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Legwand is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Legwand shoots left. Thornton is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
Legwand
Thornton
Home
48.8% (529)
59.0% (493)
Away
43.8% (580)
53.2% (500)
By Period
Legwand
Thornton
P1
49.7%
55.3%
P2
45.0%
55.4%
P3
44.8%
57.1%
OT
28.6%
59.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
46.2%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | David Legwand |