Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 48.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 48.0% vs Ward 48.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 62.9%
Defensive zone
Ward 52.5%
Neutral zone
Legwand 50.6%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Legwand
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Legwand
Ward
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
0
1
Legwand
Ward
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
0
1
Legwand
Ward
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (4,202)
51.3% (1,186)
-3.6%
Power Play
55.6% (516)
53.4% (238)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (481)
35.5% (366)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Legwand has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Legwand is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,811).
Legwand shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Legwand
Ward
Home
50.2% (2,607)
50.3% (870)
Away
45.6% (2,611)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Legwand
Ward
P1
49.8%
47.6%
P2
48.0%
47.5%
P3
46.6%
50.3%
OT
35.6%
30.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
47.9%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Joel Ward |