Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Legwand wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 46.5% vs Goc 51.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 76.0%
Defensive zone
Goc 52.4%
Neutral zone
Legwand 62.3%
Result
David Legwand favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Legwand
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Legwand
Goc
Last 6: Legwand 2-4 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
1
Legwand
Goc
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
2
3
Legwand
Goc
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (892)
52.3% (727)
-7.7%
Power Play
62.3% (114)
63.8% (69)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (90)
44.0% (159)
-2.9%
On even strength, Goc has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Legwand is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Legwand shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Legwand
Goc
Home
48.8% (529)
54.7% (468)
Away
43.8% (580)
48.8% (510)
By Period
Legwand
Goc
P1
49.7%
48.9%
P2
45.0%
53.0%
P3
44.8%
52.4%
OT
28.6%
60.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
46.2%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |