Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 45.4%). Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Legwand wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 46.5% vs Backlund 46.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 61.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 61.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.3%
Result
David Legwand favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Legwand
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Legwand
Backlund
Last 7: Legwand 2-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Legwand
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Legwand
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Legwand
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (892)
45.9% (410)
-1.3%
Power Play
62.3% (114)
44.8% (29)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (90)
42.9% (56)
-1.8%
On power play, Legwand has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Legwand is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Legwand shoots left. Backlund is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Legwand
Backlund
Home
48.8% (529)
49.3% (217)
Away
43.8% (580)
42.3% (279)
By Period
Legwand
Backlund
P1
49.7%
44.0%
P2
45.0%
49.4%
P3
44.8%
42.8%
OT
28.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
46.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2012 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |