Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Legwand wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 46.5% vs Koivu 52.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 82.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 79.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 82.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 81.4%
18.6%
81.4%
Legwand
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Legwand
Koivu
Last 7: Legwand 6-1 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Legwand
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
3
0
Legwand
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Legwand
2
0
Legwand
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (892)
52.5% (802)
-7.9%
Power Play
62.3% (114)
52.0% (198)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (90)
49.5% (105)
-8.4%
On power play, Legwand has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Legwand is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Legwand shoots left. Koivu is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Legwand
Koivu
Home
48.8% (529)
54.6% (584)
Away
43.8% (580)
49.7% (539)
By Period
Legwand
Koivu
P1
49.7%
50.7%
P2
45.0%
51.1%
P3
44.8%
54.4%
OT
28.6%
57.6%
Final 5 min
52.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
46.2%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |