Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 47.5% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaustad 52.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 83.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 75.1%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Legwand
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Legwand
Gaustad
Last 5: Legwand 3-2 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
3
0
Legwand
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Legwand
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Legwand
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (686)
58.6% (790)
-12.0%
Power Play
54.0% (63)
66.7% (93)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (82)
61.0% (269)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Legwand is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Legwand shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Legwand
Gaustad
Home
50.7% (426)
60.6% (554)
Away
43.6% (411)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Legwand
Gaustad
P1
48.2%
61.3%
P2
47.0%
55.5%
P3
46.3%
62.3%
OT
53.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
47.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |