Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 50.2% vs Kesler 55.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Legwand 53.5%
Defensive zone
Legwand 51.0%
Neutral zone
Legwand 53.8%
Result
David Legwand favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Legwand
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Legwand
Kesler
Last 10: Legwand 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
3
1
Legwand
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Legwand
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
6
Legwand
Kesler
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (594)
57.6% (231)
-8.4%
Power Play
56.6% (76)
65.5% (29)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (51)
51.2% (43)
+1.7%
On power play, Kesler has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Legwand is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Legwand shoots left. Kesler is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Legwand
Kesler
Home
50.3% (350)
58.8% (114)
Away
50.1% (371)
56.6% (189)
By Period
Legwand
Kesler
P1
50.2%
60.8%
P2
56.2%
60.0%
P3
45.4%
52.5%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
50.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 17:57 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |