Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 50.6% vs Kesler 52.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 76.0%
Defensive zone
Legwand 60.8%
Neutral zone
Legwand 58.1%
Result
David Legwand favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Legwand
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Legwand
Kesler
Last 7: Legwand 1-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Legwand
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Legwand
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Legwand
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (986)
53.8% (1,005)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.9% (153)
56.6% (205)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
42.3% (196)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Legwand has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Legwand is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Legwand shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Home / Away
Legwand
Kesler
Home
54.6% (635)
54.1% (719)
Away
45.7% (521)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Legwand
Kesler
P1
53.9%
53.1%
P2
48.4%
54.5%
P3
50.0%
50.3%
OT
44.4%
47.4%
Final 5 min
43.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
50.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | David Legwand |