Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 50.2% vs Koivu 51.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 65.9%
Defensive zone
Legwand 50.2%
Neutral zone
Legwand 60.5%
Result
David Legwand favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Legwand
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Legwand
Koivu
Last 7: Legwand 2-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
2
0
Legwand
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Legwand
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Legwand
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (594)
52.5% (631)
-3.3%
Power Play
56.6% (76)
49.3% (73)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (51)
47.6% (147)
+5.3%
On power play, Legwand has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Legwand is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Legwand shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Legwand
Koivu
Home
50.3% (350)
51.3% (431)
Away
50.1% (371)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Legwand
Koivu
P1
50.2%
51.9%
P2
56.2%
52.9%
P3
45.4%
49.8%
OT
25.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
50.2%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2013 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | David Legwand |