Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Moss on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Moss wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 43.1% vs Malkin 45.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 79.2%
Defensive zone
Malkin 52.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 63.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Moss
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Moss
Malkin
Last 5: Moss 4-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moss
3
0
Moss
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Moss
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (503)
45.6% (10,081)
-3.5%
Power Play
44.8% (58)
50.1% (668)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (114)
32.2% (59)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Moss has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Moss is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Moss shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Home / Away
Moss
Malkin
Home
47.0% (336)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
37.3% (343)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Moss
Malkin
P1
38.7%
45.9%
P2
41.9%
46.2%
P3
45.8%
45.2%
OT
40.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
41.8%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.1%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:55 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |