Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Moss wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 43.1% vs Arnott 50.3% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Moss 63.2%
Defensive zone
Moss 75.9%
Neutral zone
Moss 71.2%
Result
David Moss favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Moss
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Moss
Arnott
Last 10: Moss 3-7 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Moss
Arnott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
3
Moss
Arnott
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
3
Moss
Arnott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (503)
49.7% (1,444)
-7.6%
Power Play
44.8% (58)
53.8% (182)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (114)
40.0% (15)
-0.5%
On power play, Arnott has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Moss is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Moss shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Moss
Arnott
Home
47.0% (336)
52.1% (891)
Away
37.3% (343)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Moss
Arnott
P1
38.7%
46.1%
P2
41.9%
53.6%
P3
45.8%
50.1%
OT
40.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
41.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.1%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |