Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Moss on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Moss wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 43.1% vs Toews 57.9% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 69.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 50.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 52.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Moss
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Moss
Toews
Last 10: Moss 5-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
3
Moss
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Moss
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moss
3
1
Moss
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (503)
57.2% (13,047)
-15.1%
Power Play
44.8% (58)
63.3% (3,252)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (114)
53.6% (1,810)
-14.1%
On power play, Toews has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Moss is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Moss shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Home / Away
Moss
Toews
Home
47.0% (336)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
37.3% (343)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Moss
Toews
P1
38.7%
58.6%
P2
41.9%
57.8%
P3
45.8%
57.3%
OT
40.0%
58.9%
Final 5 min
41.8%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2013 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |