Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Moss on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Moss wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 44.6% vs Toews 56.3% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 90.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 82.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 81.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 86.1%
13.9%
86.1%
Moss
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Moss
Toews
Last 8: Moss 5-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Moss
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moss
3
1
Moss
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (277)
55.6% (1,125)
-14.1%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
59.3% (312)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (48)
57.4% (204)
-7.4%
On power play, Toews has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Moss is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Moss shoots right. Toews is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Moss
Toews
Home
45.0% (191)
59.8% (858)
Away
41.0% (173)
53.3% (795)
By Period
Moss
Toews
P1
39.3%
58.7%
P2
45.5%
55.1%
P3
44.0%
56.5%
OT
50.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
43.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
43.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2010 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |