Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Moss wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 43.1% vs Stastny 55.1% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Moss 57.7%
Defensive zone
Moss 59.4%
Neutral zone
Moss 59.8%
Result
David Moss favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Moss
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Moss
Stastny
Last 10: Moss 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Moss
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Moss
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Moss
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (503)
54.6% (10,616)
-12.5%
Power Play
44.8% (58)
59.1% (1,994)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (114)
52.9% (1,119)
-13.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Moss is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Moss shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Moss
Stastny
Home
47.0% (336)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
37.3% (343)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Moss
Stastny
P1
38.7%
56.3%
P2
41.9%
55.4%
P3
45.8%
53.5%
OT
40.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
41.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | David Moss |