Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Moss wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 44.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moss 55.1%
Defensive zone
Moss 63.0%
Neutral zone
Moss 62.0%
Result
David Moss favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Moss
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Moss
Stastny
Last 6: Moss 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Moss
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Moss
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Moss
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (158)
55.0% (1,136)
-11.3%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
57.5% (200)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
53.1% (64)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Moss is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Moss shoots right. Stastny is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Moss
Stastny
Home
52.6% (95)
58.5% (744)
Away
34.4% (125)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Moss
Stastny
P1
37.7%
57.9%
P2
42.6%
54.9%
P3
47.2%
53.0%
OT
33.3%
72.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | David Moss |