Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Moss on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Moss wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 44.6% vs Kesler 57.0% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Moss leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 76.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 89.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 82.9%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 83.2%
16.8%
83.2%
Moss
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Moss
Kesler
Last 10: Moss 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Moss
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moss
4
2
Moss
Kesler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moss
2
0
Moss
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (277)
57.3% (1,022)
-15.8%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
61.5% (200)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (48)
54.9% (257)
-4.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Moss is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Moss shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Moss
Kesler
Home
45.0% (191)
58.6% (766)
Away
41.0% (173)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Moss
Kesler
P1
39.3%
58.9%
P2
45.5%
56.8%
P3
44.0%
57.5%
OT
50.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
43.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
43.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | David Moss |