Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Moss wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 43.1% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Moss 62.4%
Defensive zone
Moss 61.6%
Neutral zone
Moss 64.3%
Result
David Moss favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Moss
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Moss
Horcoff
Last 10: Moss 4-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Moss
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Moss
Horcoff
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Moss
Horcoff
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (503)
50.6% (3,133)
-8.5%
Power Play
44.8% (58)
51.4% (555)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (114)
43.0% (567)
-3.5%
On even strength, Horcoff has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Moss is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Moss shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Home / Away
Moss
Horcoff
Home
47.0% (336)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
37.3% (343)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Moss
Horcoff
P1
38.7%
48.2%
P2
41.9%
49.5%
P3
45.8%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
41.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.1%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | David Moss |