Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Moss wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 43.1% vs Bozak 53.4% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moss 87.9%
Defensive zone
Moss 81.6%
Neutral zone
Moss 80.7%
Result
David Moss favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Moss
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Moss
Bozak
Last 7: Moss 1-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Moss
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Moss
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Moss
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (503)
53.7% (9,596)
-11.6%
Power Play
44.8% (58)
55.2% (1,990)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (114)
48.0% (1,094)
-8.5%
On even strength, Bozak has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Moss is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Moss shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Moss
Bozak
Home
47.0% (336)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
37.3% (343)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Moss
Bozak
P1
38.7%
53.2%
P2
41.9%
52.8%
P3
45.8%
54.5%
OT
40.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
41.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |