Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Perron wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 40.5% vs Toews 57.9% (-19.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perron 85.7%
Defensive zone
Perron 68.7%
Neutral zone
Perron 85.4%
Result
David Perron favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Perron
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Perron
Toews
Last 8: Perron 2-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perron
1
0
Perron
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Perron
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
5
Perron
Toews
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (400)
57.2% (13,047)
-19.9%
Power Play
44.5% (110)
63.3% (3,252)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
53.6% (1,810)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Perron is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Perron shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Home / Away
Perron
Toews
Home
42.4% (271)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
34.7% (251)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Perron
Toews
P1
42.2%
58.6%
P2
34.1%
57.8%
P3
39.8%
57.3%
OT
38.9%
58.9%
Final 5 min
42.5%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
38.7%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 19:42 | Neutral | David Perron |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |