Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Perron wins 38.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 40.6% vs Bonino 50.0% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Perron 94.6%
Defensive zone
Perron 50.2%
Neutral zone
Perron 76.4%
Result
David Perron favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Perron
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Perron
Bonino
Last 10: Perron 3-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perron
3
0
Perron
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
7
Perron
Bonino
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (398)
50.6% (8,315)
-13.2%
Power Play
44.5% (110)
54.1% (972)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
44.6% (1,693)
-11.3%
On even strength, Bonino has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Perron is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Perron shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Perron
Bonino
Home
42.8% (269)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
34.7% (251)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Perron
Bonino
P1
42.4%
50.6%
P2
34.1%
48.5%
P3
40.0%
51.1%
OT
38.9%
45.7%
Final 5 min
42.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.5%
38.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 8, 2017 | OT | 02:14 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |