Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Perron wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 43.2% vs Bonino 53.9% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perron 87.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 92.5%
Neutral zone
Perron 52.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Perron
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Perron
Bonino
Last 7: Perron 3-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perron
3
0
Perron
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
4
Perron
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (180)
56.4% (771)
-19.2%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
60.0% (30)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.8% (169)
+6.2%
On even strength, Bonino has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Perron is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Perron shoots right. Bonino is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Perron
Bonino
Home
40.2% (122)
56.5% (531)
Away
40.5% (116)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Perron
Bonino
P1
44.6%
56.7%
P2
35.1%
48.1%
P3
41.8%
58.0%
OT
36.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
41.2%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
40.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 8, 2017 | OT | 02:14 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | David Perron |