Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Perron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Perron wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 40.5% vs Patrick 51.0% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 52.9%
Defensive zone
Patrick 91.3%
Neutral zone
Patrick 82.2%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Perron
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Perron
Patrick
Last 5: Perron 4-1 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perron
4
0
Perron
Patrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Perron
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (400)
50.6% (1,978)
-13.3%
Power Play
44.5% (110)
57.5% (120)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
57.7% (26)
-24.4%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Perron is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Perron shoots right. Patrick is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Perron
Patrick
Home
42.4% (271)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
34.7% (251)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Perron
Patrick
P1
42.2%
52.9%
P2
34.1%
49.1%
P3
39.8%
51.3%
OT
38.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
38.7%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | David Perron |