Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Perron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Perron wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 43.2% vs Patrick 50.5% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perron 54.6%
Defensive zone
Patrick 92.4%
Neutral zone
Patrick 77.2%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Perron
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Perron
Patrick
Last 5: Perron 4-1 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perron
4
0
Perron
Patrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Perron
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (180)
50.6% (719)
-13.4%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
50.0% (22)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Patrick has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Perron is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Perron shoots right. Patrick is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Perron
Patrick
Home
40.2% (122)
50.1% (391)
Away
40.5% (116)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Perron
Patrick
P1
44.6%
54.4%
P2
35.1%
49.3%
P3
41.8%
47.5%
OT
36.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
40.3%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | David Perron |