Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Perron wins 38.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 40.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Perron 80.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 63.1%
Neutral zone
Perron 60.8%
Result
David Perron favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Perron
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Perron
Stastny
Last 10: Perron 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perron
2
1
Perron
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Perron
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Perron
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (398)
54.6% (10,616)
-17.2%
Power Play
44.5% (110)
59.1% (1,994)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
52.9% (1,119)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Perron is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Perron shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Perron
Stastny
Home
42.8% (269)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
34.7% (251)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Perron
Stastny
P1
42.4%
56.3%
P2
34.1%
55.4%
P3
40.0%
53.5%
OT
38.9%
62.9%
Final 5 min
42.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.5%
38.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | David Perron |
| Oct 21, 2017 | OT | 03:35 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 21, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | David Perron |