Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Perron wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 43.2% vs Monahan 50.4% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perron 71.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 63.4%
Neutral zone
Perron 60.0%
Result
David Perron favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Perron
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Perron
Monahan
Last 5: Perron 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perron
2
0
Perron
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Perron
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (180)
51.0% (1,063)
-13.8%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
49.4% (314)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
40.0% (30)
+10.0%
On even strength, Monahan has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Perron is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Perron shoots right. Monahan is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Home / Away
Perron
Monahan
Home
40.2% (122)
53.8% (705)
Away
40.5% (116)
47.0% (702)
By Period
Perron
Monahan
P1
44.6%
47.3%
P2
35.1%
53.9%
P3
41.8%
49.6%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
40.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2018 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |