Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (38.7% vs 38.6%). Perron wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 40.5% vs Zegras 39.2% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Perron 60.5%
Defensive zone
Perron 60.8%
Neutral zone
Zegras 50.6%
Result
David Perron favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Perron
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (400)
38.6% (1,669)
-1.3%
Power Play
44.5% (110)
38.5% (148)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
28.6% (7)
+4.7%
On power play, Perron has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Perron is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Perron shoots right. Zegras is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Perron
Zegras
Home
42.4% (271)
39.9% (882)
Away
34.7% (251)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Perron
Zegras
P1
42.2%
40.2%
P2
34.1%
38.0%
P3
39.8%
37.7%
OT
38.9%
31.6%
Final 5 min
42.5%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
38.7%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%