Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Steckel wins 64.4% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 61.0% vs Spezza 55.8% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 86.8%
Defensive zone
Steckel 50.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 62.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Steckel
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Steckel
Spezza
Last 8: Steckel 3-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
4
Steckel
Spezza
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
3
1
Steckel
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (595)
56.1% (795)
+5.7%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
56.9% (211)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (187)
56.3% (190)
+5.7%
On power play, Steckel has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Steckel is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Steckel shoots left. Spezza is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Steckel
Spezza
Home
67.7% (424)
56.6% (532)
Away
56.6% (396)
56.0% (678)
By Period
Steckel
Spezza
P1
60.4%
58.8%
P2
64.9%
59.6%
P3
61.2%
50.4%
OT
77.8%
57.9%
Final 5 min
64.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
62.3%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |