Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Steckel on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Steckel wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Smithson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 57.4% vs Smithson 55.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steckel 73.9%
Defensive zone
Steckel 79.0%
Neutral zone
Steckel 70.4%
Result
David Steckel favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Steckel
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Steckel
Smithson
Last 8: Steckel 6-2 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
2
1
Steckel
Smithson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
3
1
Steckel
Smithson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steckel
1
0
Steckel
Smithson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (759)
57.9% (518)
-0.5%
Power Play
59.5% (37)
40.0% (10)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (292)
50.0% (108)
+8.6%
On power play, Steckel has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Steckel is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Steckel shoots left. Smithson is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Steckel
Smithson
Home
63.3% (510)
57.8% (306)
Away
53.5% (598)
54.6% (339)
By Period
Steckel
Smithson
P1
59.0%
51.8%
P2
59.9%
54.8%
P3
55.1%
62.0%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
59.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
58.0%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | David Steckel |