Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Steckel wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 58.9% vs Koivu 54.0% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 86.3%
Defensive zone
Steckel 55.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 63.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Steckel
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Steckel
Koivu
Last 8: Steckel 3-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Steckel
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
3
1
Steckel
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Steckel
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (1,674)
54.0% (9,465)
+4.6%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
58.6% (2,100)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
60.2% (543)
48.9% (1,688)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Steckel has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Steckel is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,470).
Steckel shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Steckel
Koivu
Home
63.4% (1,163)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
55.1% (1,154)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Steckel
Koivu
P1
57.8%
53.5%
P2
61.8%
54.6%
P3
57.9%
54.0%
OT
68.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
61.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
59.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |