Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.0% vs 57.3%). Look for Steckel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Steckel wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 57.4% vs Gaustad 56.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Steckel leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Steckel 68.7%
Defensive zone
Steckel 68.0%
Neutral zone
Steckel 65.4%
Result
David Steckel favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Steckel
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Steckel
Gaustad
Last 10: Steckel 9-1 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
3
0
Steckel
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
4
0
Steckel
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steckel
2
1
Steckel
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (759)
57.8% (854)
-0.4%
Power Play
59.5% (37)
56.0% (25)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (292)
55.1% (263)
+3.5%
On power play, Steckel has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Steckel is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Steckel shoots left. Gaustad is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Steckel
Gaustad
Home
63.3% (510)
61.3% (633)
Away
53.5% (598)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Steckel
Gaustad
P1
59.0%
57.9%
P2
59.9%
55.3%
P3
55.1%
58.3%
OT
66.7%
64.3%
Final 5 min
59.9%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
58.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 16:52 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | David Steckel |