Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Steckel wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Horak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 58.9% vs Horak 43.9% (+16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horak 77.4%
Defensive zone
Horak 56.8%
Neutral zone
Horak 75.6%
Result
Roman Horak favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Steckel
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Steckel
Horak
Last 8: Steckel 3-5 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
2
0
Steckel
Horak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Steckel
Horak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horak
0
4
Steckel
Horak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (1,674)
41.8% (594)
+16.8%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
51.4% (37)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
60.2% (543)
57.9% (19)
+2.3%
On even strength, Steckel has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Steckel is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,470).
Steckel shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Steckel
Horak
Home
63.4% (1,163)
43.7% (325)
Away
55.1% (1,154)
42.2% (327)
By Period
Steckel
Horak
P1
57.8%
42.4%
P2
61.8%
44.2%
P3
57.9%
42.6%
OT
68.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
59.3%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 02:46 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 01:58 | Neutral | Roman Horak |