Alexander Wennberg vs Dawson Mercer
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wennberg wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Mercer 41.8% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 73.1%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 92.5%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 74.9%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Wennberg
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Wennberg
Mercer
Last 5: Wennberg 5-0 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Mercer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
4
0
Wennberg
Mercer
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
38.8% (263)
+7.0%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
35.3% (17)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
50.0% (10)
-12.7%
On power play, Wennberg has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Wennberg is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Wennberg shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Mercer
Home
47.3% (607)
34.7% (144)
Away
44.6% (579)
43.2% (146)
By Period
Wennberg
Mercer
P1
44.5%
32.7%
P2
46.2%
42.7%
P3
47.4%
42.2%
Final 5 min
45.4%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |