Scouting Report
Mark Olver holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Olver shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 40.0% vs Olver 43.0% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 52.4%
Defensive zone
Mercer 51.6%
Neutral zone
Mercer 53.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Mercer
Olver
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Olver
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,403)
40.3% (236)
-1.2%
Power Play
41.3% (80)
53.3% (15)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
0.0% (5)
+40.9%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Olver shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,085).
Mercer shoots right. Olver is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Mercer
Olver
Home
40.0% (737)
39.4% (132)
Away
38.6% (790)
41.3% (126)
By Period
Mercer
Olver
P1
38.0%
37.8%
P2
39.3%
41.3%
P3
41.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
39.0%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
39.3%
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
40.3%